ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, Radès
The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 75%, against 19% for a draw and 6% for ES Hammam-Sousse. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
ES Tunis is a heavy favourite: 2,034 Elo points against 1,678, a 357-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Tunis
4-3-3- 7I. Faraj
- 27H. Mastouri
- 11Y. Belaïli
- 8H. Rafia
- 16J. Castillo
- 21A. Konaté
- 25R. Chikhaoui
- 12N. Laifi
- 13M. Dräger
- 6H. Jelassi
- 32B. Ben Saïd
ES Hammam-Sousse
Not enough data to predict the ES Hammam-Sousse lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Tunis have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; ES Hammam-Sousse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ES Tunis wins, 2 draws, 0 ES Hammam-Sousse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | ES Tunis 2-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2022 | ES Hammam-Sousse 0-0 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2022 | ES Tunis 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 25, 2021 | ES Hammam-Sousse 0-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 29, 2012 | ES Tunis 7-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 4, 2012 | ES Hammam-Sousse 0-2 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse on Feb 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
ES Tunis score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; ES Hammam-Sousse score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Tunis | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Tunis sit 1st in Ligue 1 (12 points from 5 matches) and ES Hammam-Sousse sit 16th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 16 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
A question about ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 75%, against 19% for a draw and 6% for ES Hammam-Sousse.
- Where and when is ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse played?
- ES Tunis vs ES Hammam-Sousse is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.