ES Metlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Métlaoui, Métlaoui
The Footlab AI model makes US Ben Guerdane the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for ES Metlaoui. The most likely score is 1-1. If US Ben Guerdane wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Metlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate ES Metlaoui (1,705) and US Ben Guerdane (1,746).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Metlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Metlaoui
4-3-3- 14B. Nana
- 9O. Naffati
- 7B. Hajji
- 18O. Hicheri
- 20A. Ghrissi
- 19C. Bodian
- 5M. Belghith
- 34Montasser Toumi
- 15Y. Soltani
- 29A. Tlili
- 27M. Bejaoui
US Ben Guerdane
4-3-3- 7A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche
- 33N. Chachia
- 17A. Amri
- 10Ghazi Ayadi
- 8M. Camara
- 21G. Mounguide
- 30D. Oboh
- 25S. Harabi
- 14M. Yeken
- 5T. El Islem
- 31L. Hammami
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Metlaoui have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; US Ben Guerdane have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ES Sahel(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Metlaoui win, 4 draws, 1 US Ben Guerdane win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane 0-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | ES Metlaoui 1-1 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | US Ben Guerdane 2-2 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | ES Metlaoui 1-1 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | US Ben Guerdane 3-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | ES Metlaoui 3-1 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Metlaoui score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; US Ben Guerdane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Metlaoui | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| US Ben Guerdane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Metlaoui sit 14th in Ligue 1 (3 points from 5 matches) and US Ben Guerdane sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 14 | ES Metlaoui | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
A question about ES Metlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Metlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane?
- The Footlab AI model makes US Ben Guerdane the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for ES Metlaoui.
- Where and when is ES Metlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane played?
- ES Metlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Métlaoui, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.