ES Hammam-Sousse vs ES Sahel: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, Hammam-Sousse
The Footlab AI model makes ES Hammam-Sousse the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for ES Sahel. The most likely score is 0-0. If ES Hammam-Sousse wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs ES Sahel?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate ES Hammam-Sousse (1,678) and ES Sahel (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Hammam-Sousse vs ES Sahel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Hammam-Sousse
Not enough data to predict the ES Hammam-Sousse lineup.
ES Sahel
4-3-3- 7A. Ben Dhiaf
- 9M. Chaabani
- 29M. Senghor
- 25Ousmane Diakhate
- 30Rayane Anane
- 8O. Abid
- 2W. Kechrida
- 15B. Diarra
- 5K. Lanquetin
- 14N. Ferjani
- 16S. Ben Hsan
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Hammam-Sousse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; ES Sahel have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Hammam-Sousse win, 1 draw, 4 ES Sahel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | ES Sahel 2-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 13, 2022 | ES Hammam-Sousse 0-5 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 23, 2013 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-0 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 25, 2012 | ES Sahel 5-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| May 2, 2012 | ES Hammam-Sousse 0-0 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2011 | ES Sahel 3-1 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Sahel vs ES Hammam-Sousse on Jan 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
ES Hammam-Sousse score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Hammam-Sousse sit 16th in Ligue 1 (1 point from 5 matches) and ES Sahel sit 12th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | ES Sahel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
A question about ES Hammam-Sousse vs ES Sahel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Hammam-Sousse vs ES Sahel?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Hammam-Sousse the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for ES Sahel.
- Where and when is ES Hammam-Sousse vs ES Sahel played?
- ES Hammam-Sousse vs ES Sahel is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.