Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Tunisien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier, Sakiet Eddaïer
The Footlab model makes Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Stade Tunisien. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Tunisien?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (1,826) and Stade Tunisien (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Stade Tunisien have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 21, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | Redeyef(home) | 5-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | AS Gabes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stade Tunisien win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 3-5 Stade Tunisien | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Tunisien on Jan 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer score 2.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Tunisien score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 2.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Stade Tunisien | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer sit 1st in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Stade Tunisien sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Stade Tunisien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Tunisien?
- The Footlab model makes Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Stade Tunisien.
- Where and when is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Tunisien played?
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Tunisien is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.