Estonia vs Belarus: result 1-2 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2019 at 04:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Belarus?
Belarus won 1-2 on September 6, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 48′N. NaumovBelarus
- 54′E. SorgaEstonia
- 90′M. SkavyshBelarus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Belarus have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Germany(away) | 0-8 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Northern Ireland(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 26, 2019 | Gibraltar(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Greece(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2019 | Northern Ireland(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Germany(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Northern Ireland(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Netherlands(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | San Marino(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Belarus score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Belarus | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy