Estonia vs Finland: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Finland?
Finland won 0-1 on October 12, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′T. PukkiFinland
Official lineup for Estonia vs Finland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estonia
5-4-1- 15R. Sappinen
- 11H. Ojamaa
- 7S. Puri
- 14K. Vassiljev
- 10S. Zenjov
- 19K. Kallaste
- 4J. Tamm
- 20Artjom Dmitrijev
- 21N. Baranov
- 23T. Teniste
- 1M. Aksalu
Finland
4-4-2- 10T. Pukki
- 20J. Tuominen
- 13P. Soiri
- 11R. Schüller
- 14Tim Sparv
- 7R. Lod
- 18J. Uronen
- 2P. Arajuuri
- 4J. Toivio
- 22J. Raitala
- 1L. Hrádecký
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Finland have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Finland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Greece(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Morocco(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Armenia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Estonia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Hungary(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Belarus(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2018 | Romania(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2018 | Malta(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estonia wins, 0 draws, 2 Finland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Finland 1-0 Estonia | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 9, 2017 | Finland 3-0 Estonia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Finland | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estonia sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (6 points from 4 matches) and Finland sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EstoniaGroup D | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | FinlandGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Estonia vs Finland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy