Estonia vs Finland: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Finland?
Finland won 0-1 on October 12, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′T. PukkiFinland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Finland have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Finland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Greece(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Morocco(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Armenia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Estonia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Hungary(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Belarus(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2018 | Romania(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2018 | Malta(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estonia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Finland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Finland 1-0 Estonia | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 9, 2017 | Finland 3-0 Estonia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Finland | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy