Estoril vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Estoril. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Estoril (1,986) and GIL Vicente (2,050).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; GIL Vicente have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 GIL Vicente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Estoril 3-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | GIL Vicente 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Estoril 0-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Estoril 1-3 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | GIL Vicente 5-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Estoril vs GIL Vicente on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GIL Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Estoril.
- Where and when is Estoril vs GIL Vicente played?
- Estoril vs GIL Vicente is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.