Estoril vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
The Footlab AI model makes Estoril the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estoril wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
On Elo ratings, Estoril has 2,010 points and GIL Vicente 2,123.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estoril vs GIL Vicente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estoril
4-2-3-1- 14Y. Begraoui
- 12João Carvalho
- 10J. Holsgrove
- 44M. Robin
- 5A. Tsoungui
- 7André Lacximicant
- 2Ricard Sánchez
- 21R. Jurišić
- 6Xavi Sintes
- 15Isma Sierra
- 1Joel Robles
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 99M. Kaba
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 10Santi García
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 45David Moreira
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 30Lucão
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats; GIL Vicente have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril wins, 1 draw, 3 GIL Vicente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Estoril 3-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | GIL Vicente 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Estoril 0-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Estoril 1-3 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | GIL Vicente 5-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Estoril vs GIL Vicente on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 18th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 8 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estoril vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estoril the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is Estoril vs GIL Vicente played?
- Estoril vs GIL Vicente is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.