Santa Clara vs Moreirense: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Moreirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Clara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Moreirense?
On Elo ratings, Santa Clara has 2,137 points and Moreirense 2,049.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Clara vs Moreirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 9Gonçalo Paciência
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Moreirense
4-2-3-1- 79L. Vonić
- 23N. John
- 65Guilherme Liberato
- 10Kiko Bondoso
- 19Tiago Andrade
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
- 27Kiko
- 26Maracás
- 66Gilberto Batista
- 76Dinis Pinto
- 13André Ferreira
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Clara have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Moreirense have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santa Clara wins, 1 draw, 3 Moreirense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara 2-1 Moreirense | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Santa Clara 0-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Santa Clara 1-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Santa Clara 4-2 Moreirense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Moreirense on Jul 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Moreirense score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Moreirense | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Clara sit 4th in Primeira Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Moreirense sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Santa Clara vs Moreirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Moreirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Moreirense.
- Where and when is Santa Clara vs Moreirense played?
- Santa Clara vs Moreirense is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Miguel, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.