GIL Vicente vs Estrela: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Estrela. The most likely score is 1-1. If GIL Vicente wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Estrela?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate GIL Vicente (2,133) and Estrela (2,036).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GIL Vicente vs Estrela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 23Héctor Hernández
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 45David Moreira
- 30Lucão
Estrela
4-2-3-1- 37L. Antonetti
- 10I. Stoica
- 99A. Marcus
- 14L. Zvonarek
- 39Eddy Doue
- 78Santiago Serra
- 55Rafa Soares
- 5S. Leković
- 21M. Scholze
- 4Bernardo Schappo
- 24Léo Linck
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIL Vicente have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Estrela have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 GIL Vicente wins, 3 draws, 1 Estrela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Estrela 2-2 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Estrela 1-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | GIL Vicente 3-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Estrela 1-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Estrela vs GIL Vicente on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIL Vicente score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Estrela | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIL Vicente sit 7th in Primeira Liga (11 points from 7 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
A question about GIL Vicente vs Estrela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIL Vicente vs Estrela?
- The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Estrela.
- Where and when is GIL Vicente vs Estrela played?
- GIL Vicente vs Estrela is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.