SC Braga vs Casa Pia: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Casa Pia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Braga vs Casa Pia?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (2,221 vs 1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Braga vs Casa Pia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Braga
3-4-2-1- 19J. Wind
- 8João Moutinho
- 10Pau Victor
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 29J. Gorby
- 7Diogo Travassos
- 50Diego Rodrigues
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 44A. Bajrami
- 14G. Lagerbielke
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1- 9Henrique Araújo
- 16Silvi
- 11M. El Boukammiri
- 80L. Ofori
- 77B. Pauwels
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
- 18Geraldes
- 75Pedro Rosas
- 43David Sousa
- 3Kaly
- 95Ivan Mandić
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Braga have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Casa Pia have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Braga wins, 0 draws, 2 Casa Pia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Casa Pia 0-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | SC Braga 4-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Casa Pia 2-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SC Braga 1-2 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | SC Braga 4-3 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Casa Pia 1-3 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Braga score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.1 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Casa Pia | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Braga sit 9th in Primeira Liga (11 points from 8 matches) and Casa Pia sit 17th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 4 |
A question about SC Braga vs Casa Pia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Braga vs Casa Pia?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Casa Pia.
- Where and when is SC Braga vs Casa Pia played?
- SC Braga vs Casa Pia is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Braga, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.