Where and when is Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario played?

Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

Estrella Del Sur

Argentino Rosario

The Footlab model makes Estrella Del Sur the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Argentino Rosario. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario?

Estrella Del Sur starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,522).

Estrella Del Sur win54 %

Draw29 %

Argentino Rosario win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella Del Sur have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Argentino Rosario have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella Del Sur
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Centro Español(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 15, 2026	Canuelas(away)	2-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	JJ Urquiza(home)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Lujan(home)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Mercedes(away)	1-1	Primera C

Argentino Rosario
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Atletico Atlas(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Mercedes(home)	2-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Deportivo Paraguayo(away)	1-2	Primera C
Jul 23, 2026	Puerto Nuevo(home)	0-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estrella Del Sur win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Argentino Rosario win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Argentino Rosario 1-1 Estrella Del Sur	Primera C
Jul 14, 2025	Estrella Del Sur 0-0 Argentino Rosario	Primera C
Mar 29, 2025	Argentino Rosario 1-2 Estrella Del Sur	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Argentino Rosario vs Estrella Del Sur on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella Del Sur score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino Rosario score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estrella Del Sur	1.0	0.8	7	4/15	4/15
Argentino Rosario	0.8	1.2	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estrella Del Sur sit 4th in Primera C (38 points from 25 matches) and Argentino Rosario sit 14th (21 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Estrella Del Sur	25	10	8	7	26	23	38
14	Argentino Rosario	25	3	12	10	23	31	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario?: The Footlab model makes Estrella Del Sur the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Argentino Rosario.
Where and when is Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario played?: Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.