Where and when is Estrella Del Sur vs Yupanqui played?

Estrella Del Sur vs Yupanqui is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estrella Del Sur vs Yupanqui: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

Estrella Del Sur

Yupanqui

The Footlab model makes Estrella Del Sur the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Yupanqui. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Yupanqui?

Estrella Del Sur starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,532).

Estrella Del Sur win39 %

Draw31 %

Yupanqui win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella Del Sur have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Yupanqui have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella Del Sur
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Centro Español(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 15, 2026	Canuelas(away)	2-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	JJ Urquiza(home)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Lujan(home)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Mercedes(away)	1-1	Primera C

Yupanqui
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atletico Atlas(home)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 14, 2026	Puerto Nuevo(away)	2-2	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	El Porvenir(away)	3-0	Primera C
Aug 3, 2026	Canuelas(home)	1-2	Primera C
Jul 27, 2026	Fénix(away)	1-1	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estrella Del Sur win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Yupanqui win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Yupanqui 0-0 Estrella Del Sur	Primera C
Jun 28, 2025	Estrella Del Sur 1-0 Yupanqui	Primera C
Mar 15, 2025	Yupanqui 0-0 Estrella Del Sur	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Yupanqui vs Estrella Del Sur on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella Del Sur score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Yupanqui score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estrella Del Sur	1.0	0.8	7	4/15	4/15
Yupanqui	1.3	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estrella Del Sur sit 4th in Primera C (38 points from 25 matches) and Yupanqui sit 8th (33 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Estrella Del Sur	25	10	8	7	26	23	38
8	Yupanqui	25	8	9	8	31	28	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella Del Sur vs Yupanqui?: The Footlab model makes Estrella Del Sur the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Yupanqui.
Where and when is Estrella Del Sur vs Yupanqui played?: Estrella Del Sur vs Yupanqui is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.