Match

Estrella vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria

EstrellaSan Fernando CD

The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella vs San Fernando CD?

On Elo ratings, Estrella has 1,629 points and San Fernando CD 1,746.

57%25%18%
Estrella winDrawSan Fernando CD win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Estrella vs San Fernando CD

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Estrella

4-3-3
  1. AAdrián Socorro
  2. MMarco
  3. AAlejo
  1. KKevin Suárez
  2. VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
  3. FFede Manzi
  1. JJaime
  2. FFran Ramírez
  3. IIan Bolaños Gracia
  4. AAythami Artiles Oliva
  1. AArturo Caballero

San Fernando CD

4-3-3
  1. 11A. F. Quintero Guevara
  2. 25I. Traore
  3. 22J. Martel
  1. 20C. Ferreira
  2. JJuan Escobar
  3. RRafa de Vicente
  1. 24Jeremi Rodríguez
  2. 4S. Serbourdin
  3. 21C. Ribalta
  4. 17A. Velicias
  1. 1F. Aleman

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Marino(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 10, 2026Los Llanos(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 4, 2026UD San Fernando(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 25, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 19, 2026San Bartolomé(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 8, 2026Orihuela(home)1-3Copa Federacion
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estrella1.11.529/156/15
San Fernando CD0.51.534/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Estrella5212797

A question about Estrella vs San Fernando CD?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella vs San Fernando CD?
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for San Fernando CD.
Where and when is Estrella vs San Fernando CD played?
Estrella vs San Fernando CD is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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