Match

Lanzarote vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías

LanzaroteLas Palmas III

The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lanzarote wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lanzarote vs Las Palmas III?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Lanzarote (1,780) and Las Palmas III (1,843).

43%28%29%
Lanzarote winDrawLas Palmas III win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lanzarote vs Las Palmas III

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lanzarote

Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.

Las Palmas III

4-3-3
  1. VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
  2. HHéctor David Castillo Martín
  3. AAbian Santos Vergara
  1. SSamuel Antonio Ramos Linares
  2. GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
  3. JJosé Ángel Betancort Pérez
  1. IIan Bolaños Gracia
  2. BBrian Velázquez Cardona
  3. UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
  4. ÁÁlvaro Manuel Santana Hernández
  1. ÁÁlex González

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Las Palmas III have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lanzarote
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Anaza(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Los Llanos(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 11, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 3, 2026Las Palmas III(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 27, 2026San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Laguna de Duero(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Mensajero(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 9, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 3, 2026Lanzarote(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 25, 2026Estrella(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lanzarote wins, 1 draw, 2 Las Palmas III wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Las Palmas III 1-2 LanzaroteTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Mar 28, 2026Las Palmas III 2-0 LanzaroteTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 16, 2025Lanzarote 1-1 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 16, 2022Lanzarote 1-0 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 11, 2021Las Palmas III 3-1 LanzaroteTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2021Lanzarote 1-0 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Lanzarote on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lanzarote0.91.039/153/15
Las Palmas III1.50.867/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lanzarote sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 7 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Las Palmas III733114812
12Lanzarote7142697

A question about Lanzarote vs Las Palmas III?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Las Palmas III?
The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas III.
Where and when is Lanzarote vs Las Palmas III played?
Lanzarote vs Las Palmas III is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lanzarote and Las Palmas III

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