Playas Sotavento vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Marino?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Playas Sotavento (1,745) and Marino (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | Gévora(away) | 1-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Arucas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playas Sotavento | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Marino | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Marino?
- The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Marino.
- Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Marino played?
- Playas Sotavento vs Marino is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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