Match

Playas Sotavento vs Marino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Playas SotaventoMarino

The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Marino?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Playas Sotavento (1,745) and Marino (1,704).

Playas Sotavento win49 %
Draw27 %
Marino win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Playas Sotavento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2024Gévora(away)1-1Copa del Rey
Marino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Tenerife(home)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Arucas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026San Miguel(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Playas Sotavento1.01.001/10/1
Marino0.71.538/155/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Marino3481511444039

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Marino?
The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Marino.
Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Marino played?
Playas Sotavento vs Marino is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Playas Sotavento and Marino

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