Match

Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old Boys

The Footlab model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys?

Estudiantes L.P. starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,793).

Estudiantes L.P. win69 %
Draw20 %
Newells Old Boys win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantes L.P. have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estudiantes L.P.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026U. Catolica(away)3-0CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 15, 2026Gimnasia L.P.(home)4-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 12, 2026U. Catolica(home)1-1CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 8, 2026Deportivo Riestra(away)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 5, 2026Boca Juniors(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Newells Old Boys
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Banfield(home)2-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 15, 2026Deportivo Riestra(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026Defensa Y Justicia(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026Boca Juniors(home)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 31, 2026Independiente(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Estudiantes L.P. win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Newells Old Boys win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 25, 2026Newells Old Boys 0-2 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 30, 2025Newells Old Boys 1-1 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
Mar 15, 2025Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2024Newells Old Boys 1-4 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 19, 2024Estudiantes L.P. 2-0 Newells Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional
Sep 24, 2023Newells Old Boys 0-1 Estudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional

Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P. on Feb 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Estudiantes L.P. score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estudiantes L.P.1.30.773/154/15
Newells Old Boys1.21.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estudiantes L.P. sit 1st in Liga Profesional Argentina (31 points from 16 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 14th (15 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319731
5Newells Old Boys63128610
10Estudiantes L.P.5203756
14Newells Old Boys16367152715

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys?
The Footlab model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Newells Old Boys.
Where and when is Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys played?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Estudiantes L.P. and Newells Old Boys

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