Match

Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo

The Footlab AI model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for San Lorenzo. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo?

Estudiantes L.P. starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,969 vs 1,857).

63%24%13%
Estudiantes L.P. winDrawSan Lorenzo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1
  1. 19A. Gaich
  1. 21Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
  2. 17J. Burgos
  3. 31B. Gallego
  4. 18E. Cetré
  5. 8G. Neves
  1. 4S. Núñez
  2. 14L. González
  3. 13G. Benedetti
  4. 40E. Mancuso
  1. 16F. Muslera

San Lorenzo

3-4-1-2
  1. 9A. Cuello
  2. 29R. Auzmendi
  1. 24N. Tripichio
  2. 38F. Farías
  3. 5I. Perruzzi
  4. 6M. de Ritis
  5. 8M. Insaurralde
  1. 2D. Arboleda
  2. 16G. Corujo
  3. 19E. Amor
  1. 25J. Devecchi

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantes L.P. have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; San Lorenzo have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estudiantes L.P.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Gimnasia M.(home)3-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 2, 2026Platense(away)0-1Copa Argentina
Sep 26, 2026Rosario Central(home)1-3Super Copa International
Sep 22, 2026Lanus(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 17, 2026Corinthians(away)1-0CONMEBOL Libertadores
San Lorenzo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Defensa Y Justicia(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 20, 2026Boca Juniors(home)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 13, 2026Independiente(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 5, 2026Talleres Cordoba(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 1, 2026Instituto Cordoba(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Estudiantes L.P. wins, 5 draws, 1 San Lorenzo win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026San Lorenzo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 5, 2024San Lorenzo 1-1 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 13, 2024San Lorenzo 1-1 Estudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional
Sep 20, 2023Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
Jun 21, 2023Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
Aug 7, 2022San Lorenzo 0-0 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P. on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Estudiantes L.P. score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; San Lorenzo score 0.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estudiantes L.P.1.31.056/157/15
San Lorenzo0.51.144/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estudiantes L.P. sit 9th in Liga Profesional Argentina (13 points from 11 matches) and San Lorenzo sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Estudiantes L.P.11416131113
12San Lorenzo1132641111

A question about Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo?
The Footlab AI model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for San Lorenzo.
Where and when is Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo played?
Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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