Fratria vs Marek: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs Marek?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Fratria (1,725) and Marek (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fratria win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Marek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria 0-1 Marek | Second League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Fratria 1-1 Marek | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Marek 1-3 Fratria | Second League |
| May 3, 2025 | Fratria 0-1 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Marek 1-0 Fratria | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 4th in Second League (9 points from 4 matches) and Marek sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Marek?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Marek.
- Where and when is Fratria vs Marek played?
- Fratria vs Marek is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsNesebar
- Nov 28, 2026Ludogorets IIvsRilski Sportist
- Nov 28, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsVihren
- Nov 28, 2026Spartak PlevenvsYantra 2019
- Nov 28, 2026MontanavsSportist Svoge
- Nov 28, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsDobrudzha
- Nov 28, 2026Hebar 1918vsBeroe
- Nov 28, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa