Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe?
Beroe starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Beroe have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Beroe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Beroe 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Beroe 0-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 Beroe | First League |
| May 31, 2023 | Beroe 1-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Beroe 1-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Beroe | First League |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Beroe | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Beroe | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027NesebarvsLudogorets II
- May 15, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsVihren
- May 15, 2027MontanavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- May 15, 2027DobrudzhavsSpartak Pleven
- May 15, 2027Yantra 2019vsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- May 15, 2027MarekvsHebar 1918
- May 15, 2027Rilski SportistvsCSKA Sofia II
- May 15, 2027Sportist SvogevsFratria