Match

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad

Pirin BlagoevgradBeroe

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe?

Beroe starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,529).

Pirin Blagoevgrad win35 %
Draw29 %
Beroe win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Beroe have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Blagoevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nesebar(away)0-7Second League
Aug 18, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-3Second League
Aug 9, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)0-1Second League
Aug 3, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-3Second League
Jul 28, 2026Dobrudzha(away)1-5Second League
Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)3-0Second League
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Beroe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 12, 2024Beroe 2-0 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Nov 3, 2023Beroe 0-0 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Jul 14, 2023Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 BeroeFirst League
May 31, 2023Beroe 1-1 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Apr 30, 2023Beroe 1-0 Pirin BlagoevgradFirst League
Oct 7, 2022Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 BeroeFirst League

Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on May 12, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.82.145/158/15
Beroe1.10.965/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Beroe5302749
18Pirin Blagoevgrad50053190

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe?
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe played?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pirin Blagoevgrad and Beroe

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