Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Beroe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beroe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe?
Beroe starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,626 vs 1,439).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pirin Blagoevgrad
4-3-3- 10T. Tasev
- 9M. Kokalkov
- 21K. Petsev
- 18V. Gogov
- 14A. Bliznakov
- 80M. Stefanov
- 30I. Kostov
- 3Deyan Ivanov
- 25G. Dimanchev
- 17D. Zanev
- 76K. Kostov
Beroe
4-3-3- 10Ismael Ferrer
- 9Cheikh Diamanka
- 20Nikolay Ivaylov Georgiev
- 21N. Bandev
- 8Wesley Dual da Rocha
- 23H. El Yahyaoui
- 24H. Mitev
- 4D. Dinev
- 17G. Valchev
- 2Lachezar Mihaylov
- 1I. Goshev
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; Beroe have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv Mezdra(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marek(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad wins, 3 draws, 3 Beroe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Beroe 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Beroe 0-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 Beroe | First League |
| May 31, 2023 | Beroe 1-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Beroe 1-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | First League |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Beroe | First League |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.6 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Beroe | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (1 point from 12 matches) and Beroe sit 8th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beroe | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beroe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027NesebarvsLudogorets II
- May 15, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsVihren
- May 15, 2027MontanavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- May 15, 2027DobrudzhavsSpartak Pleven
- May 15, 2027Yantra 2019vsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- May 15, 2027MarekvsHebar 1918
- May 15, 2027Rilski SportistvsCSKA Sofia II
- May 15, 2027Sportist SvogevsFratria