Montana vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Montana (1,627) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montana win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Montana 0-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-0 Montana | Second League |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-0 Montana | Second League |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Montana 0-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-2 Montana | Second League |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Montana 0-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Montana vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Montana vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Montana vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027NesebarvsLudogorets II
- May 15, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsVihren
- May 15, 2027DobrudzhavsSpartak Pleven
- May 15, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsBeroe
- May 15, 2027Yantra 2019vsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- May 15, 2027MarekvsHebar 1918
- May 15, 2027Rilski SportistvsCSKA Sofia II
- May 15, 2027Sportist SvogevsFratria