Ethiopia vs Rwanda: result 2-3 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipPlay-offsKick-off on November 4, 2017 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Rwanda?
Rwanda won 2-3 on November 4, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Rwanda have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2017 | Botswana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Aug 17, 2017 | Sudan(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Sudan(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Zambia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Djibouti(home) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2017 | Uganda(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Uganda(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 7, 2017 | Sudan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Tanzania(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ethiopia win, 0 draws, 2 Rwanda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2015 | Ethiopia 0-1 Rwanda | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Jul 27, 2013 | Rwanda 1-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rwanda score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Rwanda | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ethiopia vs Rwanda?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy