Ethiopia vs Rwanda: result 2-3 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipPlay-offsKick-off on November 4, 2017 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Rwanda?
Rwanda won 2-3 on November 4, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Rwanda have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2017 | Botswana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Aug 17, 2017 | Sudan(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Sudan(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Zambia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Djibouti(home) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2017 | Uganda(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Uganda(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 7, 2017 | Sudan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Tanzania(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ethiopia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rwanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2015 | Ethiopia 0-1 Rwanda | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Jul 27, 2013 | Rwanda 1-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rwanda score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Rwanda | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy