Everton vs Brighton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton vs Brighton?
Brighton starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,291 vs 2,164).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Everton vs Brighton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 14José María Andrés Baixauli
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Brighton have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Everton wins, 3 draws, 1 Brighton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Brighton 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Everton 2-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Brighton 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Everton 0-3 Brighton | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Brighton 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Everton 1-1 Brighton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Brighton | 2.4 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton sit 5th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Brighton sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Everton vs Brighton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton vs Brighton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Everton.
- Where and when is Everton vs Brighton played?
- Everton vs Brighton is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hill Dickinson Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.