Fulham vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Craven Cottage, London
The Footlab model makes Fulham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fulham vs Everton?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Fulham (2,124) and Everton (2,110).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fulham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Everton have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farense(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fulham win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Everton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Fulham 1-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Everton 2-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Fulham 1-3 Everton | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Everton 1-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Fulham 0-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Everton 1-1 Fulham | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Fulham score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Everton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fulham sit 12th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Everton sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Everton?
- The Footlab model makes Fulham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Everton.
- Where and when is Fulham vs Everton played?
- Fulham vs Everton is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Craven Cottage, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.