EVV vs TOGB: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), Echt-Susteren
The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for EVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If TOGB wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EVV vs TOGB?
TOGB starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for EVV vs TOGB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
EVV
4-3-3- 7Bjorn Stassen
- 5C. Eind
- 2R. Vierhout
- 14Boris Gehlen
- BBob Vankan
- 16Remco Gielen
- 4Rick Geenen
- 8R. Zeegers
- 3Koen Verheij
- 13Q. Devoi
- 23D. Vranken
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EVV have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; TOGB have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Halsteren(home) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
EVV score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVV | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EVV sit 18th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 9 matches) and TOGB sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 2 |
A question about EVV vs TOGB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EVV vs TOGB?
- The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for EVV.
- Where and when is EVV vs TOGB played?
- EVV vs TOGB is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.