EVV vs Zwaluwen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), Echt-Susteren
The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for EVV. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EVV vs Zwaluwen?
Zwaluwen starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,766 vs 1,590).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for EVV vs Zwaluwen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
EVV
4-3-3- 7Bjorn Stassen
- 5C. Eind
- 2R. Vierhout
- 14Boris Gehlen
- BBob Vankan
- 16Remco Gielen
- 4Rick Geenen
- 8R. Zeegers
- 3Koen Verheij
- 13Q. Devoi
- 23D. Vranken
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 9J. van Mullem
- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 16D. van Rijn
- 4Vincent van Dorp
- 3L. Krznaric
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EVV have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Zwaluwen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Halsteren(home) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
EVV score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zwaluwen score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVV | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Zwaluwen | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EVV sit 18th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 9 matches) and Zwaluwen sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 2 |
A question about EVV vs Zwaluwen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EVV vs Zwaluwen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for EVV.
- Where and when is EVV vs Zwaluwen played?
- EVV vs Zwaluwen is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.