Where and when is Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo played?

Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Extremadura 1924

Lugo

The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo?

Extremadura 1924 starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,995 vs 1,885).

Extremadura 1924 win53 %

Draw26 %

Lugo win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Extremadura 1924 have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Lugo have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Extremadura 1924
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	CD Coria(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	La Unión Atlético(home)	4-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Xerez(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Lugo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Coruxo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Extremadura 1924 score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Extremadura 1924	1.7	0.8	7	8/15	8/15
Lugo	0.9	1.3	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36	40	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo?: The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Lugo.
Where and when is Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo played?: Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.