Match

Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Extremadura 1924Lugo

The Footlab AI model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Extremadura 1924 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Extremadura 1924 (2,023) and Lugo (1,964).

46%27%27%
Extremadura 1924 winDrawLugo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Extremadura 1924

4-3-3
  1. 9Rodri
  2. 12Nordin
  3. 23Dieguito
  1. 24L. Morcillo
  2. 6Yael Ballesteros
  3. 16L. Lečić
  1. 5S. Molina
  2. 2Z. Tassounte
  3. 21A. Macias
  4. 14Diego Espejo
  1. 1D. Robador

Lugo

4-3-3
  1. 17Chiqui
  2. 14Álex Gallar
  3. 11M. Dauda
  1. 20A. Ulloa
  2. 15P. Parrilla
  3. 21G. Berzal
  1. 5Pol Moreno
  2. 19R. Lucero
  3. 18Kike Hermoso
  4. 3Pere Haro
  1. 25F. Embadje

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Extremadura 1924 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lugo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Extremadura 1924
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 27, 2026Don Benito(away)4-2Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)5-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Real Unión(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026CD Coria(away)4-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Mérida AD(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 23, 2026Real Unión(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Extremadura 1924 score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Extremadura 19242.11.148/1510/15
Lugo1.50.777/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Extremadura 1924 sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 10 matches) and Lugo sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Lugo1081118925
5Extremadura 192410514191016

A question about Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo?
The Footlab AI model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lugo.
Where and when is Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo played?
Extremadura 1924 vs Lugo is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?