Match

Barakaldo vs Cacereño: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, Barakaldo

BarakaldoCacereño

The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barakaldo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,516 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barakaldo vs Cacereño?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Barakaldo (1,922) and Cacereño (1,929).

36%31%33%
Barakaldo winDrawCacereño win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Barakaldo vs Cacereño

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Barakaldo

4-3-3
  1. 19Ángel Troncho
  2. 20Okolo
  3. 11Carlos Mattheus
  1. 8Julen Huidobro
  2. 15I. Jimenez
  3. 21X. Fernandez
  1. 17Pablo Trigueros
  2. 3Ander Zoilo
  3. 5Aritz Muguruza
  4. 4O. Marotias
  1. 13Gaizka Campos

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 18Juan Artola
  2. 16Sergio Navarro
  3. 9O. Chit
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:52 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barakaldo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Cacereño have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barakaldo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Real Avilés(home)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 11, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 16, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-2Copa Federacion

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Barakaldo wins, 2 draws, 0 Cacereño wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Cacereño 0-0 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2025Barakaldo 1-1 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Barakaldo on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barakaldo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barakaldo1.11.246/154/15
Cacereño1.40.867/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barakaldo sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 7 matches) and Cacereño sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Cacereño73317412
17Barakaldo71336106

A question about Barakaldo vs Cacereño?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barakaldo vs Cacereño?
The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Cacereño.
Where and when is Barakaldo vs Cacereño played?
Barakaldo vs Cacereño is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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