Match

Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoPontevedra

The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,899) and Pontevedra (1,986).

Arenas Getxo win32 %
Draw29 %
Pontevedra win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Pontevedra have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Laredo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Eibar(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Zamora(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Real Madrid II(away)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Coruxo(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Ourense CF(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Estradense(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Arosa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arenas Getxo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pontevedra win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 8, 2026Arenas Getxo 1-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 14, 2025Pontevedra 2-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra on Apr 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo1.21.738/157/15
Pontevedra1.91.349/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Pontevedra sit 6th (58 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Pontevedra3814168493158
11Arenas Getxo3815716465552

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra?
The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra played?
Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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