Match

Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoPontevedra

The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontevedra wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra?

Pontevedra starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,856).

34%28%38%
Arenas Getxo winDrawPontevedra win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arenas Getxo

4-3-3
  1. 9José Luis Cortés
  2. 23Álex Oyón
  3. 14E. Redondo
  1. 16Gael Akogo Esono
  2. 6I. Garcia
  3. 24Álvaro Arnedo
  1. 18Rubi
  2. 2J. Larrauri
  3. 15B. Arratibel
  4. 22A. Dufur
  1. 1Manuel Obón

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 3P. Gaye
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 14L. Macias
  3. 6I. Ivorra
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 20Rui Ferreira
  4. 15D. Alba
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Pontevedra have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026CD Coria(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 24, 2026UD Ourense(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Mérida AD(home)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Barakaldo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Barakaldo(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 27, 2026Arosa(away)0-2Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Cacereño(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arenas Getxo win, 0 draws, 2 Pontevedra wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Pontevedra 4-1 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 8, 2026Arenas Getxo 1-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 14, 2025Pontevedra 2-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo0.92.137/158/15
Pontevedra1.41.349/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 20th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Pontevedra sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Pontevedra10433121115
20Arenas Getxo102268228

A question about Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra?
The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra played?
Arenas Getxo vs Pontevedra is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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