Match

Zamora vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

ZamoraRacing Ferrol

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Racing Ferrol?

Zamora starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,831).

Zamora win54 %
Draw27 %
Racing Ferrol win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 2, 8 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 13, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)2-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Osasuna II(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zamora win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Racing Ferrol win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Zamora 1-0 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 16, 2025Racing Ferrol 1-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 15, 2022Racing Ferrol 1-3 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2021Zamora 0-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 31, 2021Zamora 1-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 1, 2020Racing Ferrol 2-2 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Racing Ferrol on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zamora1.41.166/158/15
Racing Ferrol1.01.549/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (61 points from 38 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 12th (49 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261
12Racing Ferrol38131015414749

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Racing Ferrol?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Racing Ferrol.
Where and when is Zamora vs Racing Ferrol played?
Zamora vs Racing Ferrol is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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