Famalicao vs Estrela: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Estrela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Famalicao wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Famalicao vs Estrela?
Famalicao starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (2,131 vs 1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Famalicao vs Estrela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Famalicao
4-2-3-1- 70G. Koutsias
- 7Sorriso
- 14Mathias De Amorim
- 18R. Beney
- 6T. van de Looi
- 21Tamás Szücs
- 17Rodrigo Pinheiro
- 15Víctor Rofino
- 3L. Realpe
- 2Gustavo Garcia
- 25L. Carević
Estrela
4-2-3-1- 37L. Antonetti
- 10I. Stoica
- 78Santiago Serra
- 99A. Marcus
- 14L. Zvonarek
- 39Eddy Doue
- 5S. Leković
- 21M. Scholze
- 55Rafa Soares
- 3L. Mincarelli Davin
- 24Léo Linck
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Famalicao have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Estrela have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fazendense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Famalicao win, 4 draws, 1 Estrela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Estrela 2-2 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Estrela 0-0 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Famalicao 2-3 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Famalicao 0-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Estrela 0-3 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Famalicao 0-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Famalicao score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Famalicao sit 11th in Primeira Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Estrela sit 12th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
A question about Famalicao vs Estrela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Famalicao vs Estrela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Estrela.
- Where and when is Famalicao vs Estrela played?
- Famalicao vs Estrela is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.