Rio Ave vs Santa Clara: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Rio Ave. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Clara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,138 vs 2,016).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rio Ave vs Santa Clara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1- 11J. Blesa
- 7Diogo Bezerra
- 5A. Ntoi
- 79M. Patricio
- 54G. Liavas
- 80S. Clemmensen
- 20João Tomé
- 39Gustavo Mancha
- 17M. Vrousai
- 23F. Petrasso
- 32Vitor Hugo
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 9Gonçalo Paciência
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Clara have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rio Ave win, 2 draws, 3 Santa Clara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara 4-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Santa Clara 1-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Rio Ave 1-2 Santa Clara | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Rio Ave on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Clara | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave sit 14th in Primeira Liga (7 points from 8 matches) and Santa Clara sit 4th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Rio Ave vs Santa Clara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Ave vs Santa Clara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Rio Ave.
- Where and when is Rio Ave vs Santa Clara played?
- Rio Ave vs Santa Clara is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.