Sporting CP vs Famalicao: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaMatchday 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Famalicao. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Sporting CP starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (2,422 vs 2,141).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs Famalicao
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 97L. Suárez
- 19N. Irankunda
- 31Luis Guilherme
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77Issa Doumbia
- 4S. Andersen
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 20M. Araújo
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 30Kaique
Famalicao
4-2-3-1- 70G. Koutsias
- 7Sorriso
- 14Mathias De Amorim
- 18R. Beney
- 6T. van de Looi
- 10Pedro Santos
- 15Víctor Rofino
- 2Gustavo Garcia
- 17Rodrigo Pinheiro
- 28Pedro Francisco
- 25L. Carević
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Famalicao have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sporting CP wins, 1 draw, 0 Famalicao wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao 1-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sporting CP 1-0 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Famalicao 1-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sporting CP 3-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Famalicao 0-3 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Famalicao 0-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Famalicao vs Sporting CP on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Famalicao score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Famalicao | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (24 points from 11 matches) and Famalicao sit 10th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 24 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Famalicao.
- Where and when is Sporting CP vs Famalicao played?
- Sporting CP vs Famalicao is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.