Famalicao vs Sporting CP: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
The Footlab model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Famalicao. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Famalicao vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,380 vs 2,103).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Famalicao have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Sporting CP have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-3 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Lens(away) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Famalicao win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Sporting CP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sporting CP 1-0 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Famalicao 1-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sporting CP 3-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Famalicao 0-3 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Famalicao 0-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Sporting CP 1-0 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs Famalicao on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Famalicao score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 2.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sporting CP | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Famalicao sit 12th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Sporting CP sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Famalicao vs Sporting CP?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Famalicao.
- Where and when is Famalicao vs Sporting CP played?
- Famalicao vs Sporting CP is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.