Nacional vs Alverca: result 1-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Full time
What was the result of Nacional vs Alverca?
Alverca won 1-3 on September 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 34′Francisco ChissumbaAlverca
- 36′D. CamaraAlverca
- 42′D. CamaraAlverca
- 81′Matchoi DjalóNacional
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Alverca win at 36%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Nacional vs Alverca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nacional
4-3-3- 7M. Jensen
- 99Pablo Ruan
- 11S. Gavriel
- 8Miguel Baeza
- 6Matheus Dias
- 10Daniel Júnior
- 21W. Kokolo
- 38Zé Vitor
- 33Francisco Gonçalves
- 52Wesley Gasolina
- 1Renato Bellucci
Alverca
3-4-3- 22Figueiredo
- 19D. Camara
- 10Chiquinho
- 55Francisco Chissumba
- 25Ian Luccas
- 6D. Gui
- 20Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
- 12I. James
- 21Sergi Gómez
- 4Y. Bojang
- 31Matheus Mendes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Alverca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nacional win, 0 draws, 1 Alverca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nacional 1-0 Alverca | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Alverca 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alverca score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Alverca | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 16th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 8 matches) and Alverca sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Nacional vs Alverca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy