Rio Ave vs Estrela: result 3-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
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What was the result of Rio Ave vs Estrela?
Rio Ave and Estrela drew 3-3 on September 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 21′I. StoicaEstrela
- 45′F. PetrassoRio Ave
- 53′A. MarcusEstrela
- 56′R. GalčíkRio Ave
- 61′A. MarcusEstrela
- 78′J. BlesaRio Ave (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Estrela win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Rio Ave vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1- 11J. Blesa
- 7Diogo Bezerra
- 79M. Patricio
- 80S. Clemmensen
- 5A. Ntoi
- 44T. Nikitscher
- 24Pedro Amaral
- 3S. Garcia
- 23F. Petrasso
- 20João Tomé
- 99E. van der Gouw
Estrela
4-2-3-1- 37L. Antonetti
- 10I. Stoica
- 14L. Zvonarek
- 99A. Marcus
- 39Eddy Doue
- 78Santiago Serra
- 55Rafa Soares
- 5S. Leković
- 30Patrick Luan
- 21M. Scholze
- 24Léo Linck
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Estrela have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rio Ave wins, 2 draws, 1 Estrela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rio Ave 2-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Estrela 1-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2025 | Rio Ave 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Estrela 1-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave sit 14th in Primeira Liga (7 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Rio Ave vs Estrela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy