Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
The Footlab model makes Guimaraes the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Academico Viseu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Academico Viseu (1,996) and Guimaraes (2,080).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academico Viseu have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Guimaraes have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Academico Viseu score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academico Viseu sit 12th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 3 matches) and Guimaraes sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes?
- The Footlab model makes Guimaraes the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Academico Viseu.
- Where and when is Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes played?
- Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.