Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Behnam Mohammadi Stadium, Masjed Soleyman
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 27% for Naft Masjed Soleyman, 39% for a draw, 34% for Fard Alborz. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Naft Masjed Soleyman (1,543) and Fard Alborz (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft Masjed Soleyman have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fard Alborz have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Be'sat Kermanshah(home) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| May 12, 2025 | Niroye Zamini(away) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| May 6, 2025 | Fajr Sepasi(home) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Naft Bandar Abbas(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Shahrdari Astara(home) | 6-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Saipa(home) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Niroye Zamini(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
How many goals should we expect?
Naft Masjed Soleyman score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fard Alborz score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 17% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Masjed Soleyman | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fard Alborz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fard Alborz | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 27% for Naft Masjed Soleyman, 39% for a draw, 34% for Fard Alborz.
- Where and when is Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz played?
- Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Behnam Mohammadi Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.