Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Shenavarsazi Qeshm the favourite at 40%, against 37% for a draw and 23% for Mes Soongoun. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Shenavarsazi Qeshm (1,479) and Mes Soongoun (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shenavarsazi Qeshm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mes Soongoun have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(home) | 1-3 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mes Soongoun(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 4-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mes Soongoun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mes Soongoun 1-1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Azadegan League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm 0-0 Mes Soongoun | Azadegan League |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Mes Soongoun 3-1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Hazfi Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mes Soongoun vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shenavarsazi Qeshm score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Soongoun score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Mes Soongoun | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shenavarsazi Qeshm sit 14th in Azadegan League (27 points from 29 matches) and Mes Soongoun sit 15th (25 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 29 | 27 |
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 32 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun?
- The Footlab model makes Shenavarsazi Qeshm the favourite at 40%, against 37% for a draw and 23% for Mes Soongoun.
- Where and when is Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun played?
- Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.