Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 21Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farnborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Maidstone Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd 1-2 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Maidstone Utd 1-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Farnborough 0-2 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Farnborough 2-2 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 4-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Farnborough 0-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd played?
- Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd is played on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 7, 2026Chelmsford CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Dec 8, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsDorking Wanderers
- Dec 8, 2026DovervsBillericay Town
- Dec 8, 2026MaidenheadvsTruro City
- Dec 8, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsSlough Town
- Dec 8, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsSalisbury
- Dec 8, 2026Chesham UnitedvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 8, 2026AFC TottonvsFarnham Town