Match

Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 21Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire

FarnboroughMaidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,776).

Farnborough win24 %
Draw22 %
Maidstone Utd win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farnborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Maidstone Utd win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd 1-2 FarnboroughNational League - South
Mar 14, 2026Maidstone Utd 1-0 FarnboroughNational League - South
Oct 18, 2025Farnborough 0-2 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Apr 26, 2025Farnborough 2-2 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Dec 21, 2024Maidstone Utd 4-0 FarnboroughNational League - South
Apr 6, 2024Farnborough 0-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857
7Farnborough4211447

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd played?
Farnborough vs Maidstone Utd is played on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Farnborough and Maidstone Utd

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