Match

Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey

Farnham TownChelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,936) and Chelmsford City (1,874).

Farnham Town win52 %
Draw24 %
Chelmsford City win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-4National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Slough Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026AFC Totton(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Eastleigh(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South

How many goals should we expect?

Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnham Town1.61.149/158/15
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnham Town sit 19th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Chelmsford City3030223
19Farnham Town4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City?
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City played?
Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnham Town and Chelmsford City

Ready to know everything about football?