Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,936) and Chelmsford City (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnham Town sit 19th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | Farnham Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chelmsford City.
- Where and when is Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City played?
- Farnham Town vs Chelmsford City is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsFarnborough
- Apr 10, 2027TorquayvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Apr 10, 2027DovervsWalton & Hersham
- Apr 10, 2027BraintreevsSalisbury
- Apr 10, 2027MaidenheadvsMaidstone Utd
- Apr 10, 2027Billericay TownvsTruro City
- Apr 10, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsDorking Wanderers
- Apr 10, 2027Weston-super-MarevsEbbsfleet United