Farnham Town vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnham Town vs Chesham United?
Farnham Town starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,904 vs 1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Farnham Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | Farnham Town 1-2 Chesham United | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Farnham Town vs Chesham United on Sep 16, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnham Town sit 19th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 19 | Farnham Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Farnham Town vs Chesham United played?
- Farnham Town vs Chesham United is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 15, 2027Chelmsford CityvsDover
- Feb 16, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsBraintree
- Feb 16, 2027TorquayvsAFC Totton
- Feb 16, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsMaidstone Utd
- Feb 16, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsBillericay Town
- Feb 16, 2027Slough TownvsTruro City
- Feb 16, 2027Weston-super-MarevsFarnborough
- Feb 16, 2027Folkestone InvictavsTonbridge Angels