Fazendense vs Fátima: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 20Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Fazendense the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Fátima. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fazendense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fazendense vs Fátima?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Fazendense (1,744) and Fátima (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fazendense vs Fátima
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fazendense
Not enough data to predict the Fazendense lineup.
Fátima
Not enough data to predict the Fátima lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Fazendense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Fátima have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Alverca II(away) | 0-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ginásio Figueirense(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Fazendense score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 12; Fátima score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fazendense | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 7/12 | 9/12 |
| Fátima | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fazendense sit 13th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (1 point from 4 matches) and Fátima sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
A question about Fazendense vs Fátima?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fazendense vs Fátima?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fazendense the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Fátima.
- Where and when is Fazendense vs Fátima played?
- Fazendense vs Fátima is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.