Fazendense vs FC Alverca II: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C · Matchday 14Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes FC Alverca II the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Fazendense. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Alverca II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fazendense vs FC Alverca II?
FC Alverca II starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,902 vs 1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fazendense vs FC Alverca II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fazendense
Not enough data to predict the Fazendense lineup.
FC Alverca II
4-3-3- RRodrigo Catraio
- RRafael Santos
- AAfonso Vagarinho
- PPedro Henriques
- 6Tomas Lacerda
- JJanickson da Silva
- DDiogo Ramos
- DDiogo Cordes
- FFábio Celestino
- SSimão Lamas
- 1Cristian
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fazendense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; FC Alverca II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-6 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 5-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Fazendense wins, 0 draws, 1 FC Alverca II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Alverca II 5-0 Fazendense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: FC Alverca II vs Fazendense on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fazendense score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Alverca II score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fazendense | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Alverca II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fazendense sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (1 point from 7 matches) and FC Alverca II sit 11th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
A question about Fazendense vs FC Alverca II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fazendense vs FC Alverca II?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Alverca II the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Fazendense.
- Where and when is Fazendense vs FC Alverca II played?
- Fazendense vs FC Alverca II is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.