FC Alverca II vs UD da Serra: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes FC Alverca II the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for UD da Serra. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Alverca II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,132 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Alverca II vs UD da Serra?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate FC Alverca II (1,855) and UD da Serra (1,880).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Alverca II vs UD da Serra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Alverca II
4-3-3- RRodrigo Catraio
- RRafael Santos
- AAfonso Vagarinho
- PPedro Henriques
- 6Tomas Lacerda
- JJanickson da Silva
- DDiogo Ramos
- DDiogo Cordes
- FFábio Celestino
- SSimão Lamas
- 1Cristian
UD da Serra
Not enough data to predict the UD da Serra lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Alverca II have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; UD da Serra have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 5-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 23, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amora(away) | 4-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 FC Alverca II wins, 0 draws, 1 UD da Serra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UD da Serra 2-1 FC Alverca II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: UD da Serra vs FC Alverca II on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Alverca II score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UD da Serra score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca II | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| UD da Serra | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Alverca II sit 11th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (3 points from 4 matches) and UD da Serra sit 5th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UD da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
A question about FC Alverca II vs UD da Serra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Alverca II vs UD da Serra?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Alverca II the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for UD da Serra.
- Where and when is FC Alverca II vs UD da Serra played?
- FC Alverca II vs UD da Serra is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.