Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte played?

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

FC Cincinnati

Charlotte

The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate FC Cincinnati (1,852) and Charlotte (1,816).

FC Cincinnati win53 %

Draw23 %

Charlotte win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cincinnati have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Charlotte have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Seattle Sounders(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

Charlotte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	DC United(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Toronto FC(away)	3-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Columbus Crew(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	0-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Atlas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Cincinnati win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Charlotte win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Charlotte 2-2 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Aug 10, 2025	FC Cincinnati 0-1 Charlotte	Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025	Charlotte 2-0 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2024	FC Cincinnati 1-3 Charlotte	Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024	Charlotte 1-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Sep 23, 2023	FC Cincinnati 3-0 Charlotte	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cincinnati score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati	2.6	1.9	1	14/15	12/15
Charlotte	1.7	1.1	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cincinnati sit 6th in Major League Soccer (31 points from 21 matches) and Charlotte sit 5th (32 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Charlotte	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
6	FC Cincinnati	21	8	7	6	49	47	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?: The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Charlotte.
Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte played?: FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.