Where and when is Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC played?

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Orlando City SC

Toronto FC

The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Toronto FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Orlando City SC (1,812) and Toronto FC (1,752).

Orlando City SC win47 %

Draw24 %

Toronto FC win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando City SC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Toronto FC have 1, 8 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orlando City SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	FC Cincinnati(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	2-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Leon(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026	Monterrey(away)	2-1	Leagues Cup

Toronto FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Charlotte(home)	3-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2026	New York City FC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	DC United(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 22, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	0-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Orlando City SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Toronto FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 18, 2025	Toronto FC 4-2 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025	Orlando City SC 4-2 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2024	Toronto FC 1-2 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2024	Orlando City SC 1-2 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023	Toronto FC 0-2 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2023	Orlando City SC 4-0 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC on Oct 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Orlando City SC score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Toronto FC score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Orlando City SC	2.2	2.0	2	12/15	11/15
Toronto FC	1.4	1.9	2	13/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orlando City SC sit 10th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 20 matches) and Toronto FC sit 11th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Orlando City SC	20	6	3	11	32	50	21
11	Toronto FC	20	4	9	7	29	36	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?: The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Toronto FC.
Where and when is Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC played?: Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.