FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Portland Timbers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate FC Dallas (1,903) and Portland Timbers (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Portland Timbers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 4-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Austin(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 5-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Dallas win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Portland Timbers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Portland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 10, 2025 | FC Dallas 2-0 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Portland Timbers 0-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 5, 2024 | FC Dallas 3-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 12, 2023 | Portland Timbers 1-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas on Jul 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Portland Timbers | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 20 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 9th (27 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Dallas | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 36 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
- The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Portland Timbers.
- Where and when is FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers played?
- FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Columbus CrewvsNew York Red Bulls
- Sep 12, 2026Orlando City SCvsToronto FC
- Sep 12, 2026DC UnitedvsAtlanta United FC
- Sep 12, 2026FC CincinnativsCharlotte
- Sep 12, 2026Inter MiamivsNashville SC
- Sep 13, 2026Sporting Kansas CityvsLos Angeles FC
- Sep 13, 2026St. Louis CityvsMinnesota United FC
- Sep 13, 2026Colorado RapidsvsCF Montreal