Inter Miami vs Nashville SC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Nashville SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Miami vs Nashville SC?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Inter Miami (1,961) and Nashville SC (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Nashville SC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leon(home) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 4-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Leon(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Inter Miami win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nashville SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Inter Miami 1-1 Nashville SC | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Nashville SC 0-0 Inter Miami | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Inter Miami 4-0 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Nashville SC 2-1 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Nashville SC vs Inter Miami on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Miami score 2.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nashville SC score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Nashville SC | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (39 points from 20 matches) and Nashville SC sit 1st (46 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 38 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs Nashville SC?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Nashville SC.
- Where and when is Inter Miami vs Nashville SC played?
- Inter Miami vs Nashville SC is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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