Match

VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax: prediction and stats

Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo

VVV VenloJong Ajax

The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?

VVV Venlo starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,688 vs 1,518).

64%19%17%
VVV Venlo winDrawJong Ajax win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VVV Venlo

4-2-3-1
  1. 17L. Schmidt
  1. 7E. Zuliani
  2. 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
  3. 11N. Ait Mouhou
  4. 24M. Odriss
  5. 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
  1. 4É. Clancy
  2. 14Raf Vullers
  3. 33G. Blancquart
  4. 16P. Heise
  1. 13Y. Schoonderwaldt

Jong Ajax

4-3-3
  1. 9E. Ünüvar
  2. 11P. Nash
  3. 7Leo Salazar
  1. 8Mohamed Abdalla
  2. 10Alejandro Monserrate
  3. 6M. Verkuijl
  1. 4M. Muzungu
  2. 2R. van de Pavert
  3. 5Sinclair de Falco
  4. 3G. Spina
  1. 1C. Setford

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Jong Ajax have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VVV Venlo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Jong Ajax(away)3-0Eerste Divisie
Oct 4, 2026Roda(home)2-0Eerste Divisie
Sep 26, 2026FC Volendam(away)2-3Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2026Jong Utrecht(away)3-1Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026FC OSS(home)3-1Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026VVV Venlo(home)0-3Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2026Roda(home)0-0Eerste Divisie
Sep 14, 2026Jong Utrecht(away)1-6Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026Waalwijk(home)0-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 4, 2026Almere City FC(away)1-0Eerste Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 VVV Venlo wins, 0 draws, 1 Jong Ajax win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Jong Ajax 0-3 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
Mar 17, 2026VVV Venlo 0-1 Jong AjaxEerste Divisie
Sep 26, 2025Jong Ajax 2-4 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
Mar 7, 2025VVV Venlo 1-0 Jong AjaxEerste Divisie
Nov 1, 2024Jong Ajax 0-1 VVV VenloEerste Divisie
May 3, 2024VVV Venlo 2-0 Jong AjaxEerste Divisie

Last archived meeting: Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo on Oct 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VVV Venlo2.41.7410/1512/15
Jong Ajax1.12.538/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VVV Venlo sit 3rd in Eerste Divisie (21 points from 10 matches) and Jong Ajax sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3VVV Venlo10703261421
18Jong Ajax1022613258

A question about VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?
The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Jong Ajax.
Where and when is VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax played?
VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VVV Venlo and Jong Ajax

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