Vitesse vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Den Bosch. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Den Bosch?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Vitesse (1,715) and Den Bosch (1,645).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs Den Bosch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 16P. Dahbo
- 34Y. Ouallil
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 2S. Bonnah
- 1C. van den Berg
Den Bosch
4-1-4-1- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 8K. Monzialo
- 40I. Boumassaoudi
- 11J. De Vries
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 3S. Maas
- 2S. Barglan
- 1P. van de Merbel
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Den Bosch have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Vitesse wins, 0 draws, 3 Den Bosch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Den Bosch 1-4 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Den Bosch 2-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Vitesse 1-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| May 9, 2025 | Vitesse 3-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Den Bosch 4-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 6th in Eerste Divisie (17 points from 11 matches) and Den Bosch sit 12th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
A question about Vitesse vs Den Bosch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Den Bosch.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Den Bosch played?
- Vitesse vs Den Bosch is played on March 7, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.